SCS Feb 17
Logistics forecasts are looking more optimistic; Polyester prices surge; Ocean inch up - again;

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Although it doesn’t look that way now, there are continuing signals that logistics are heading towards a less frantic situation.

LOGISTICS

Freight Rates Feb

Asia-Europe volumes are gradually increasing in the post-Chinese New Year period, however ocean capacity remains tight due to pre-CNY rolled cargo, along with fewer sailings, according to Flexport.

Asia-US shippers are looking more to East Coast ports as congestion continues to plague LA/Long Beach, according to Freightos.

Projections for US ocean import demand show no sign of a slowdown in the first half of the year, per The National Retail Foundation.

  • Retailers are projected to import 30% more containers compared with Q1 of 2019.

Maersk said it expected supply chain problems to persist into the second quarter but that the situation should level out in the second half of the year.

A “normalisation of the situation” and a fall in freight rates as Covid restrictions are lifted and infection rates fall, is expected to lead to a likely easing of congestion in ports such as Los Angeles and Long Beach on the US west coast.

 –  Soren Skou, CEO of A.P. Moller-Maersk

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MATERIALS

Materials Prices Feb

Polyester yarn inventory is low, leading to price increases following Chinese New Year.

Cotton prices retreated after making strong gains earlier this month.

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