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Saturday, June 13, 2026

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Inside Fashion Confidence Index

52/100 ↑

Direction: Stabilizing, prior month 50 → 47.

Cycle Tier

Defensive →

Improving, but still very cautious

Materials Costs

Stable, but High →

Direction: Leveling, at elevated price points

Logistics Costs

Rising ↑

Ocean rates up low double digits. MoM; Air: China-N. EU +6.3%, China-N. Am -15.3%

Supplier Pressure

Level →

Cost pressure continues. Order volumes up in key markets.

Get Data & Analysis

Weekly, monthly, yearly materials prices and price change.

Logistics rates – ocean and air.

Signals We’re Watching
Current Industry Alerts
Top Market Shifts
Monthly Cycle Call
Industry Confidence

Key Market Indicators

Interest rates are expected to inch up in more markets.

The European Central Bank raised rates 0.25% this week.

Bank of Japan raised rates an historic 1% earlier this week.

The Fed is seen as likely to raise rates at its June meeting.

Oil prices continue to retreat, despite on going tensions in the Middle East.

Asian currencies (including the Phillipine peso, the Indonesian rupiah, the India rupee and the Thai baht) are trading at sharply lower levels as surging energy prices deplete US dollar reserves.

Logistics

Global freight rates rose sharply heading into peak, but still remain below year-ago levels.

Week of Jun 11, 2026

US West Coast

+51%

$4,836

US East Coast

+25%

$6,386

N. Europe

+37%

$4,076

Mediteranean

+24%

$5,487

📄 Download the current Logistics Briefing report →

Monthly Cycle Call

- Primary Risk: Volatility around energy driving up costs in key some Asian sourcing nations.

- Primary Opportunity: Softening oil prices could weaken materials prices.

- Watch Next: Back-to-school ordering behavior, consumer sentiment, and whether buyers continue pushing micro orders and shorter cycles

Logistics shifts

The NRF now expects June to be the peak month, with volumes to the US up 5% from May before easing in July and through the rest of the summer.

Peak season started early for Asia – Europe lanes as shippers tried to get ahead of persistent congestion at major European hubs

Current Industry Shifts

Section 301 investigations expanding pressure — key apparel-producing nations are in the crosshairs.

Brands pushing smaller orders — buyers are requesting micro orders and painfully tight lead times.

Concerns about Back-to-School spending levels, and how much will be spent on apparel

Brands are reducing orders, prioritizing inventory discipline.

Materials Price Trends

Materials prices are stabilizing. Input cost remain high relative to a year ago, but prices have cooled off from month-ago peaks.

📄 Download the current Materials Price Outlook report →

Materials Index

Materials prices are reteating, on lower oil prices. Wool however is still climibing.

Weekly Materials Prices | June 02, 2026

5 Signals We’re Watching in June

OIL PRICES. This is the lynchpin that’s driving up costs. As oil prices retreat, cost across the supply chain will start to fall.
LABOR COSTS. Wage pressure in key sourcing nations driving up costs for factories. Unlike energy and other costs, when wages go up they don’t come down.
TARIFF CHANGES. The US is actively pursuing Section 301 investigations – and key apparel producing nations are in the crosshairs.
CONSUMER DEMAND. Retail in key markets has remained resilient, but more purchases have been made using credit. That could slowdown future spending.
RETAIL PRICES. Brands can no longer lean as heavily on promotions to drive sales. Yet most might find it difficult to get consumers to pay more without offering tangibly better products.

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