SCS Mar 31
Inflation weakens EU imports; China keeps ports open to support trade; Port work contracts face June expiration

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Lian Aug2021

Retailers are pulling some summer orders forward to hedge against potential new logistics logjams, especially into the US.

LOGISTICS

Freight Rates Mar 23

Key US port worker’s union contracts will expire at the end of June raising concerns of potential strikes, according to Freightos.

Trans-Pacific import projections and early 2022 data forecasting indicate that this will be another year of supply chain bottlenecks that may worsen in the summer-fall peak season, according to UPS.

Ocean rates on Asia-N. Europe routes continue to fall – despite worsening congestion at major ports – as inflation continues to push down demand. Rates are down 20% since January, per Freightos.

Despite lockdowns (rotational until April 5), Shanghai ports will remain open with minimal disruption to trade. So far, ocean carriers have not announced any blank sailings, said Flexport.

Shanghai-US air cargo rates have climbed about 10% in the last two weeks, though the combination of lower demand and removal of capacity could keep air cargo rates level, according to Freightos.

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MATERIALS

Materials prices Mar 23

International cotton prices are expected to remain high this year.  Demand for cotton is expected to continue to grow, however an easing of supply chain bottlenecks will result in lower international cotton prices in 2022-23 averaging US$ 98 cents/pound, according to Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES).

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