RETAIL DEMAND

US Remains Resilient but Headwinds Loom, while Europe Slows on Weak Sentiment

EU vs US

/ Across both regions, rising discounting is weighing on margins, even as freight and FX pressures ease.

Heading into the middle of Q2, US demand looks relatively more resilient, while Europe appears to be more fragile and value‑seeking.

Global macro houses, including Bridgewater and Citadel, expect US retail sales to grow about 3.5% in 2026, down from roughly 4% in 2025, with modest volume growth and inflation around 2.6–3.0%.

In both the US and Europe, rising discounting, especially in value/value‑adjacent retailers, is a key reason behind margin guidance cuts despite tailwinds from easing freight and FX.

Online‑first, DTC and omnichannel leaders are seen as structural winners.

To continue reading, please login

Related articles

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

error: Content is protected