MARKETS

2024 Was Better Than Expected

Inflation

Retailers, suppliers and analysts had their doubts about whether consumer spending would hold up throughout 2024. 

Despite headwinds from geopolitical tensions, general elections in many nations and stubborn inflation, retail sales for clothing, footwear and accessories beat expectations in most key markets.

Still, most brands feel less confident about 2025, wondering if this is the quarter when the market finally hits a wall.

China’s Q4 2024 GDP surged to 5.4% year-on-year, up from 4.6% and marking the highest level of the year, and the fastest year-on-year growth of any quarter since Q2 2023.

US December retail sales rose 0.4% over November, below the expected 0.5% that analysis had predicted.  Economists said the results still reflected a healthy economic outlook.   Wells Fargo economists calculated a 4.1% year-over-year jump in holiday sales above their projections of 3.3% holiday sales growth.

UK retail sales, adjusted for the inclusion of the Black Friday sales at the start of the month, fell by 0.3% month-on-month in December after a downwardly revised 0.1% expansion in November, per the Office for National Statistics.  Retail sales for the fourth quarter as a whole fell by 0.8%.  While retail as whole fell, sales of clothing rose 4.4% in December.

Spain’s core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, also reached a four-month high of 2.6% in December, up from November’s 2.4%, per the National Statistics Institute (INE).   Despite current inflationary pressures, the outlook for Spain’s economy remains positive, per CaixaBank forecasts.

UK inflation edged down to 2.5% in December from 2.6% in November, the Office for National Statistics said.

Markets

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